★ Sector
Prediction Markets
September 2024 – June 2026
- Orgs
- 2
- People
- 2
- Actions
- 18
- Topics
- 9
Online exchanges where users trade event contracts — financial positions whose payout depends on the outcome of elections, sporting events, economic data, and other future events. Distinct from Financial Services and Cryptocurrency, though some operators run on crypto rails. Overseen primarily by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Organizations
Actions
Actions involving organizations in this sector, players affiliated with them, or sector-wide benefits.
- Trump banked $2.2 billion in year one, mostly from crypto he regulates$2.2BPrivate ActionJune 2026
- Trump's DOJ forever-bars IRS claims against Trump and family$1.8BGovernment ActionMay 2026
- Trump sons anchor Dominari's $1B American Ventures portfolio$1.04BPrivate ActionMay 2026
- U.S. Air Force orders drones from Trump-tied Dominari portfolio firmGovernment ActionApril 2026
- Trump's commodities regulator scraps its proposed ban on betting contractsGovernment ActionBeneficiaryJanuary 2026
Withdrawing the proposed event-contract ban and signaling favorable new rules legitimizes prediction markets as a product category, benefiting every venue offering political and sports event contracts.
- Trump and Lutnick cut a mining deal their sons stand to profit from$1.6BGovernment ActionNovember 2025
- 1789 Capital invests in Polymarket, places partner Trump Jr. on boardPrivate ActionAugust 2025
- DOJ drops Polymarket probe, clearing path for US reentryGovernment ActionJuly 2025
- Trump's commodities regulator closes Polymarket betting probeGovernment ActionJuly 2025
- Fr8Tech buys $20M in $TRUMP memecoin as trade advocacy$20MPrivate ActionMay 2025
- Serbia approves Trump-Kushner hotel on government-owned landPrivate ActionApril 2025
- Trump Jr. runs paid speaking tour across Eastern Europe and BalkansPrivate ActionApril 2025
- Trump Jr. and Witkoff sons launch $500K-per-member DC clubPrivate ActionApril 2025
- Polymarket CEO attends Trump White House crypto summit while under federal investigationGovernment ActionMarch 2025
- Kalshi names Trump Jr. strategic advisor week before father's inaugurationPrivate ActionJanuary 2025
- Justin Sun anchors Trump DeFi token sale with $30M buy$30MPrivate ActionNovember 2024
- Donald Trump Jr. joins venture firm 1789 CapitalPrivate ActionNovember 2024
- Trump family launches World Liberty Financial crypto platformPrivate ActionSeptember 2024
People
Derived from affiliations to organizations in this sector.
